Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/11 Game 1
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+63.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +36.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -11.7 | +20.5 | -4.9 | -3.9 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,700 | 16% | 41% | 21% | 22% | -0.6 | -6.5 | +7.2 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 16% | 36% | 26% | 22% | -0.3 | +6.5 | -5.3 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 42% | 21% | 21% | -7.4 | -5.4 | +25.5 | -12.7 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 10% | 35% | 42% | 13% | -21.6 | +24.8 | -1.5 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 1% | 60% | 32% | 7% | -0.8 | -29.7 | +30.8 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 16% | 79% | 5% | -4.8 | +36.8 | -29.3 | -2.6 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 75% | 21% | 4% | -7.1 | +15.4 | -6.9 | -1.4 |