Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/11 Game 1
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+63.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +36.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -12.9 | +20.8 | -4.3 | -3.6 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,700 | 17% | 40% | 21% | 22% | -1.3 | -4.1 | +7.2 | -1.8 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 17% | 36% | 26% | 21% | -1.7 | +5.2 | -4.4 | +0.9 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 42% | 21% | 23% | -6.0 | -5.1 | +27.9 | -16.8 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 11% | 34% | 44% | 11% | -22.2 | +25.0 | -4.8 | +2.0 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 1% | 61% | 30% | 8% | -0.6 | -29.2 | +30.5 | -0.7 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 17% | 77% | 6% | -5.2 | +36.5 | -28.1 | -3.2 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 75% | 21% | 4% | -7.1 | +14.9 | -7.0 | -0.8 |