Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/11 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+61.5pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 16,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +42.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -15.7 | -5.2 | +26.6 | -5.7 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 15% | 21% | 45% | 20% | -1.2 | -3.8 | +5.6 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 17% | 50% | 19% | -8.3 | -8.6 | +26.7 | -9.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 16,000 | 6% | 7% | 77% | 10% | -9.5 | -13.4 | -19.8 | +42.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 5% | 53% | 38% | -5.7 | +8.2 | -0.1 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 8% | 54% | 36% | -12.1 | +21.4 | -3.4 | -5.9 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 17% | 51% | 31% | -3.2 | +8.2 | -3.3 | -1.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 22% | 47% | 30% | -2.8 | -15.9 | -11.3 | +30.0 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 7% | 25% | 69% | -0.3 | -4.3 | -7.6 | +12.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 2% | 7% | 91% | -0.4 | -2.7 | +0.7 | +2.5 |