Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/11 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+61.5pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 16,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +43.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -13.5 | -8.3 | +25.0 | -3.2 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 15% | 20% | 44% | 21% | -3.2 | -1.3 | +5.7 | -1.2 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 17% | 50% | 19% | -8.2 | -9.0 | +27.5 | -10.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 16,000 | 6% | 8% | 76% | 10% | -9.9 | -11.7 | -21.6 | +43.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 5% | 6% | 50% | 40% | -3.8 | +5.2 | +1.3 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 7% | 53% | 36% | -15.3 | +21.5 | -2.8 | -3.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 16% | 50% | 34% | -1.1 | +9.2 | -3.4 | -4.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 22% | 47% | 31% | -2.7 | -16.7 | -10.9 | +30.3 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 6% | 25% | 69% | -1.1 | -2.6 | -7.2 | +10.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 3% | 9% | 89% | -0.2 | -3.4 | -0.2 | +3.7 |