Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/4 Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+53.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +39.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 28% | 25% | 23% | 24% | -5.1 | +3.0 | +5.1 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 27% | 28% | 22% | -5.2 | -7.1 | -3.1 | +15.4 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,100 | 20% | 20% | 25% | 35% | +5.6 | +1.8 | -7.9 | +0.6 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 24% | 19% | 36% | -3.8 | -5.3 | +12.8 | -3.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 19% | 19% | 29% | 32% | -5.9 | +10.8 | -3.6 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 16% | 27% | 26% | 31% | +3.1 | +1.5 | -10.0 | +5.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 16% | 29% | 20% | 35% | +15.4 | -10.9 | -5.9 | +1.5 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 20% | 16% | 36% | +39.2 | -10.2 | -20.2 | -8.8 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 4,000 | 79% | 4% | 2% | 15% | +8.2 | +22.7 | -8.4 | -22.5 |