Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/4 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Aiko Hinata, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +39.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -15.6 | -4.8 | +23.6 | -3.2 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 21% | 41% | 22% | +23.5 | -15.8 | -3.1 | -4.6 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata ron 3,900 from Takaya Matsugase | 30% | 12% | 38% | 19% | +1.4 | +2.6 | -18.2 | +14.2 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 33% | 14% | 24% | 30% | +25.2 | -20.5 | +0.2 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 56% | 5% | 19% | 20% | +3.5 | +0.1 | -7.8 | +4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 60% | 4% | 15% | 22% | 0.0 | +26.9 | -23.9 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,300 from Aiko Hinata | 64% | 12% | 6% | 18% | +8.9 | -4.7 | -1.8 | -2.4 |
| South 3 | Aiko Hinata ron 1,300 from Shingo Hori | 78% | 4% | 5% | 13% | +4.9 | -4.5 | -7.6 | +7.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 87% | 1% | 0% | 12% | -1.9 | -1.7 | -1.2 | +4.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 85% | 1% | 0% | 15% | -31.4 | -6.4 | -5.4 | +43.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Aiko Hinata | 17% | 0% | 0% | 83% | +39.4 | +3.8 | -3.0 | -40.2 |