Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/4 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Hinata Aiko, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +38.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 24% | 23% | 26% | -14.1 | -2.7 | +21.4 | -4.7 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 21% | 39% | 23% | +20.3 | -14.3 | -1.1 | -4.9 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Matsugase Takaya | 30% | 12% | 39% | 19% | +3.2 | +1.0 | -18.0 | +13.8 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 34% | 13% | 25% | 28% | +23.7 | -20.6 | +1.8 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 56% | 4% | 21% | 18% | +2.9 | +1.4 | -9.6 | +5.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 60% | 4% | 16% | 21% | +1.9 | +24.7 | -23.2 | -3.4 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,300 from Hinata Aiko | 66% | 10% | 7% | 17% | +8.4 | -3.0 | -2.9 | -2.6 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko ron 1,300 from Hori Shingo | 79% | 3% | 5% | 13% | +4.7 | -4.0 | -7.6 | +6.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 88% | 1% | 0% | 11% | -2.0 | -2.8 | -0.6 | +5.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 85% | 0% | 0% | 15% | -31.0 | -6.1 | -5.9 | +43.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Hinata Aiko | 18% | 0% | 0% | 82% | +38.6 | +4.1 | -3.0 | -39.7 |