Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/5 Game 1
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +58.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 18,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 27% | 26% | 23% | 24% | +40.4 | -40.8 | -1.2 | +1.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 57% | 5% | 18% | 20% | -4.7 | -2.3 | -3.0 | +10.0 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 53% | 5% | 16% | 25% | +2.9 | -3.7 | +4.1 | -3.3 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 56% | 3% | 18% | 23% | +18.8 | -2.1 | -13.3 | -3.4 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 77% | 2% | 7% | 14% | -13.9 | -3.3 | +20.8 | -3.6 |
| South 1 | Draw | 64% | 2% | 19% | 16% | +4.2 | +2.3 | -3.0 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 4,000 | 69% | 2% | 17% | 12% | -6.2 | -3.8 | +13.6 | -3.6 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 6,000 | 62% | 2% | 26% | 10% | -5.9 | +15.2 | -3.1 | -6.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 58% | 5% | 27% | 11% | -8.5 | -17.0 | -11.6 | +37.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 45% | 0% | 18% | 36% | -3.7 | -0.5 | +5.9 | -1.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 40% | 0% | 23% | 37% | -1.8 | -0.9 | +16.4 | -13.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 38% | 0% | 38% | 24% | -12.4 | -1.9 | -25.1 | +39.3 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 0% | 9% | 76% | -21.8 | -2.7 | +58.9 | -34.4 |