Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/5 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+50.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 1,100, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +38.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -2.9 | -3.6 | +8.0 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 22% | 32% | 24% | -0.4 | -4.9 | -3.1 | +8.4 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 22% | 17% | 29% | 31% | +0.5 | +38.4 | -36.9 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,800 from Kurosawa Saki | 18% | 48% | 8% | 26% | +0.7 | -20.1 | +1.0 | +18.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,600 from Mizuhara Akina | 20% | 29% | 9% | 43% | -0.7 | +1.1 | +8.1 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 20% | 31% | 12% | 36% | -1.7 | +2.5 | +26.4 | -27.2 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 35% | 28% | 18% | -3.1 | -6.6 | -5.3 | +15.0 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 1,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 20% | 27% | 25% | 28% | -3.1 | +12.8 | +2.4 | -12.0 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,500 from Sasaki Hisato | 19% | 42% | 21% | 18% | -13.8 | +0.4 | -3.7 | +17.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 12% | 42% | 21% | 26% | -6.6 | -7.0 | -3.7 | +17.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 1,100 | 7% | 28% | 16% | 49% | -10.1 | +38.6 | -11.3 | -17.1 |