Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/5 Game 2
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+50.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +38.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -6.4 | -4.0 | +9.6 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 2,000 | 22% | 21% | 31% | 26% | -0.8 | -3.1 | +0.5 | +3.4 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 20% | 19% | 32% | 28% | -0.3 | +38.5 | -38.7 | +0.5 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 5,800 from Saki Kurosawa | 17% | 50% | 8% | 25% | 0.0 | -20.6 | -1.3 | +21.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,600 from Akina Mizuhara | 19% | 27% | 8% | 46% | +0.2 | +2.6 | +11.0 | -13.9 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 21% | 33% | 13% | 34% | -2.6 | +1.9 | +24.9 | -24.3 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 35% | 28% | 19% | -3.1 | -6.6 | -5.0 | +14.7 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 1,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 19% | 29% | 23% | 29% | -3.1 | +12.9 | +1.0 | -10.8 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,500 from Hisato Sasaki | 17% | 43% | 21% | 19% | -13.1 | -0.3 | -2.4 | +15.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 11% | 44% | 19% | 26% | -5.9 | -6.3 | -4.6 | +16.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 1,100 | 7% | 31% | 14% | 48% | -10.2 | +37.0 | -9.9 | -16.9 |