Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/7 Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+67.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 18,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +49.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -2.8 | -1.4 | +5.5 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 25% | 28% | 24% | -8.5 | -19.4 | +36.0 | -8.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 10% | 60% | 16% | +2.4 | +2.5 | -5.4 | +0.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 4,000 | 16% | 12% | 55% | 17% | +16.3 | -7.3 | -2.4 | -6.7 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 9% | 53% | 13% | +49.5 | -14.1 | -22.5 | -12.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 77% | 2% | 17% | 4% | -1.0 | +4.7 | -1.7 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 2,000 | 80% | 4% | 14% | 3% | +2.4 | -10.8 | +0.2 | +8.1 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,800 from Seiichi Kondo | 86% | 0% | 11% | 3% | -4.0 | +3.0 | +13.4 | -12.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Jun Murakami | 77% | 0% | 21% | 2% | +12.6 | -9.2 | -7.2 | +3.8 |
| South 4 | Jun Murakami tsumo 5,200 | 95% | 0% | 4% | 1% | +0.4 | +22.0 | -1.2 | -21.3 |