Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

10/7 Game 2

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+58.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +33.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Yuumi Uotani● Takaharu Ooi● Ken Sonoda● Naoki Setokuma0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Yuumi● Takaharu● Ken● Naoki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Naoki Setokuma
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
Naoki Setokuma
Expected pt change
East 1Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani26%25%25%25%-16.4+0.8+17.1-1.5
East 2Exhaustive draw15%25%38%23%-1.8+7.2-2.5-2.9
East 2, 1 honbaKen Sonoda ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi15%29%34%22%+0.5-17.7+16.1+1.1
East 3Yuumi Uotani ron 2,600 from Naoki Setokuma14%15%50%21%+6.0+0.60.0-6.6
East 4Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,00016%16%50%18%-2.6-0.4+10.1-7.2
South 1Yuumi Uotani ron 7,700 from Ken Sonoda13%14%63%10%+24.9-1.8-23.1+0.1
South 1, 1 honbaKen Sonoda ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi33%16%38%13%-1.2-5.5+5.4+1.3
South 2Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,00031%13%42%14%+33.4-17.4-9.0-7.1
South 3Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,20072%1%21%5%+4.4+14.7-9.7-9.4
South 4Yuumi Uotani tsumo 1,50085%2%8%6%+8.4+0.8+2.6-11.8

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)