Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/8 Game 1
Matsugase Takaya finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000, which moved Matsugase Takaya's expected points by +33.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 26% | -15.6 | -7.7 | -10.2 | +33.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 13% | 18% | 16% | 53% | -1.8 | -5.2 | +6.2 | +0.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 11% | 14% | 19% | 56% | +0.1 | +8.4 | -9.9 | +1.4 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 17% | 13% | 58% | -9.2 | -8.2 | -7.8 | +25.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 4% | 8% | 5% | 83% | +4.3 | -7.9 | +3.6 | 0.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 6% | 6% | 6% | 83% | +2.5 | +1.6 | -2.7 | -1.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 6% | 5% | 5% | 84% | -5.9 | +4.4 | +1.1 | +0.4 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 7% | 5% | 87% | +43.5 | -25.3 | -11.6 | -6.6 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 17% | 0% | 3% | 79% | -0.2 | -6.4 | +7.0 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 17% | 0% | 4% | 80% | -1.4 | +23.9 | -27.6 | +5.1 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 9% | 0% | 0% | 91% | -5.3 | +3.2 | -0.7 | +2.7 |