Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/11 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+76.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +27.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -6.8 | -0.1 | +7.2 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 21% | 24% | 29% | 26% | +0.1 | -24.0 | +23.9 | 0.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 9% | 48% | 23% | -0.9 | -1.5 | +5.7 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 17% | 9% | 54% | 20% | -1.1 | +2.2 | +27.0 | -28.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 1,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 9% | 5% | 80% | 5% | +3.6 | -1.1 | +0.7 | -3.2 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 4% | 83% | 5% | -4.0 | +0.1 | +16.3 | -12.3 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,700 | 3% | 2% | 95% | 1% | -7.4 | +8.9 | +0.9 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 2% | 98% | 0% | +24.6 | -16.9 | -3.0 | -4.7 |
| South 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 98% | 0% | +11.0 | -2.0 | -6.5 | -2.4 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Tojyo Rio | 5% | 0% | 95% | 0% | -4.2 | +4.2 | +5.4 | -5.4 |