Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/11 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+76.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +27.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 27% | 23% | 25% | -8.3 | -3.9 | +10.9 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 19% | 23% | 32% | 26% | +2.7 | -22.5 | +21.8 | -1.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 10% | 49% | 22% | -3.2 | -0.6 | +5.7 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 17% | 9% | 54% | 20% | +0.4 | +0.3 | +27.7 | -28.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 9% | 5% | 81% | 5% | +2.5 | +1.0 | +0.2 | -3.7 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 4% | 84% | 4% | -3.5 | -1.3 | +15.0 | -10.2 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,700 | 3% | 2% | 95% | 1% | -6.4 | +8.6 | +0.5 | -2.7 |
| South 2 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 2% | 98% | 1% | +24.3 | -16.9 | -2.2 | -5.2 |
| South 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 98% | 0% | +10.7 | -0.8 | -6.0 | -3.8 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Rio Tojyo | 4% | 0% | 96% | 0% | -3.8 | +3.5 | +5.0 | -4.7 |