Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/11 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+72.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +46.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 27% | 24% | -3.0 | +7.9 | -6.0 | +1.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 22% | 29% | 22% | 26% | +1.0 | -4.3 | +7.6 | -4.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 27% | 28% | 23% | -0.8 | -2.2 | -6.7 | +9.8 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 7,800 | 23% | 26% | 22% | 29% | -7.7 | -7.1 | -8.2 | +23.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 16% | 20% | 16% | 48% | -1.1 | +38.8 | -30.3 | -7.4 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 49% | 3% | 35% | -8.6 | +0.6 | +7.3 | +0.7 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 7% | 52% | 5% | 36% | -0.9 | +14.9 | +1.6 | -15.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 72% | 5% | 19% | -5.0 | -31.0 | -10.6 | +46.6 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 1% | 20% | 2% | 77% | -8.4 | +19.1 | -1.4 | -9.4 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 44% | 0% | 56% | -4.7 | -20.6 | -3.2 | +28.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 3% | 0% | 97% | +10.1 | -3.9 | -6.5 | +0.2 |