Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/12 Game 1
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+73.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Aki Nikaido tsumo 18,000, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +45.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 26% | 26% | 23% | +45.1 | -18.4 | -14.9 | -11.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kanako Maruyama ron 1,300 from Aki Nikaido | 62% | 12% | 13% | 13% | -5.3 | +4.5 | -0.6 | +1.4 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 2,000 | 58% | 15% | 12% | 15% | +2.4 | -6.1 | -1.5 | +5.1 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 4,000 | 63% | 10% | 12% | 15% | +12.2 | -2.6 | -8.1 | -1.5 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori ron 1,600 from Akina Mizuhara | 76% | 7% | 5% | 12% | +3.4 | +1.5 | +4.8 | -9.7 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,900 from Kanako Maruyama | 81% | 6% | 6% | 6% | +5.4 | -8.4 | +1.3 | +1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 87% | 3% | 4% | 5% | -2.9 | -18.0 | -0.6 | +21.5 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 84% | 2% | 4% | 10% | +0.8 | -6.5 | -0.1 | +5.8 |
| South 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 86% | 0% | 3% | 11% | +9.6 | +0.9 | -11.3 | +0.8 |
| South 4 | Kanako Maruyama ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 95% | 0% | 0% | 5% | +1.8 | +25.3 | -24.5 | -2.6 |