Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/12 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+73.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Nikaido Aki tsumo 18,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +43.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | +43.5 | -12.0 | -17.0 | -14.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 1,300 from Nikaido Aki | 60% | 14% | 12% | 14% | -2.1 | +2.5 | +0.7 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 2,000 | 59% | 15% | 13% | 13% | +2.9 | -9.7 | -1.4 | +8.2 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,000 | 63% | 9% | 12% | 16% | +11.7 | -1.0 | -6.2 | -4.4 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo ron 1,600 from Mizuhara Akina | 77% | 6% | 6% | 11% | +3.2 | +0.2 | +4.4 | -7.7 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,900 from Maruyama Kanako | 82% | 6% | 7% | 5% | +5.0 | -7.2 | +0.8 | +1.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 87% | 3% | 5% | 5% | -3.8 | -18.9 | -1.9 | +24.6 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 83% | 1% | 4% | 12% | +3.0 | -5.6 | +0.8 | +1.8 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 88% | 0% | 3% | 9% | +8.8 | +1.2 | -11.4 | +1.4 |
| South 4 | Maruyama Kanako ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 96% | 0% | 0% | 4% | +1.5 | +25.0 | -24.5 | -1.9 |