Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/12 Game 2
Matsugase Takaya finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000, which moved Matsugase Takaya's expected points by +44.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -4.6 | +0.4 | -20.3 | +24.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 23% | 14% | 43% | -0.1 | -5.5 | +7.2 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 21% | 20% | 18% | 41% | +1.2 | +10.8 | -7.3 | -4.6 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 27% | 13% | 39% | +40.0 | -10.1 | -7.6 | -22.2 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,600 from Okada Sayaka | 60% | 16% | 7% | 17% | -7.8 | -2.8 | -2.8 | +13.4 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 52% | 15% | 7% | 26% | -23.0 | -1.7 | +19.5 | +5.2 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 29% | 17% | 18% | 36% | +17.6 | -13.4 | -4.1 | -0.1 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 51% | 10% | 10% | 28% | -24.9 | -9.5 | -10.2 | +44.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 7,800 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 95% | -4.1 | -5.7 | -1.5 | +11.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +9.0 | -11.5 | +3.5 | -1.0 |