Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/14 Game 1
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+64.9pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +51.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +44.1 | -13.3 | -13.3 | -17.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 5,800 from Shiratori Sho | 60% | 13% | 14% | 12% | +15.0 | -0.7 | -1.7 | -12.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 74% | 11% | 10% | 6% | +1.9 | -4.5 | +4.1 | -1.4 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 76% | 8% | 11% | 5% | -6.7 | -8.5 | -5.1 | +20.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 71% | 7% | 10% | 12% | -0.6 | -5.7 | -2.1 | +8.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 72% | 4% | 10% | 15% | +2.2 | -2.6 | +1.5 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 73% | 3% | 9% | 15% | -0.8 | 0.0 | +5.3 | -4.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Asakura Koshin | 72% | 4% | 11% | 12% | -11.7 | -4.0 | -3.7 | +19.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 61% | 4% | 10% | 25% | -0.1 | -0.9 | +4.9 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 63% | 3% | 11% | 22% | -28.1 | -7.2 | -8.0 | +43.3 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 1,500 from Asakura Koshin | 20% | 2% | 6% | 73% | -5.9 | +4.0 | +1.2 | +0.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,900 from Shiratori Sho | 15% | 3% | 7% | 75% | +3.3 | +5.2 | -1.8 | -6.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 7,800 | 21% | 3% | 7% | 68% | -8.5 | +21.9 | -8.8 | -4.6 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 18% | 10% | 8% | 64% | +20.4 | -4.2 | -16.1 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,200 from Nikaido Aki | 34% | 3% | 2% | 60% | -5.2 | +1.3 | -9.4 | +13.3 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 7,800 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 83% | -8.4 | -3.3 | -2.3 | +14.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 0% | 0% | 98% | +2.3 | -1.9 | -1.4 | +1.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 97% | +51.9 | -2.1 | -3.7 | -46.0 |