Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/14 Game 2
Matsugase Takaya finished 1st (+60.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Matsugase Takaya's expected points by +44.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -6.8 | -2.5 | +11.9 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 5,800 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 21% | 23% | 33% | 23% | +0.1 | +17.8 | -18.1 | +0.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 20% | 36% | 19% | 24% | -11.0 | -3.4 | +11.8 | +2.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 14% | 33% | 27% | 26% | -2.8 | +1.3 | +5.7 | -4.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 14% | 33% | 31% | 22% | -2.6 | -1.9 | +7.6 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 31% | 38% | 20% | -8.3 | -13.6 | +34.9 | -13.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 6% | 15% | 70% | 9% | -10.4 | +11.0 | -3.2 | +2.6 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 20% | 66% | 10% | -3.2 | +17.3 | -3.0 | -11.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 3% | 32% | 61% | 4% | +2.6 | -0.9 | -1.0 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 34% | 60% | 4% | -11.8 | -3.9 | +0.6 | +15.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 29% | 63% | 8% | +2.9 | -2.5 | +1.5 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 24% | 68% | 7% | +6.0 | -2.8 | +0.4 | -3.6 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 18% | 76% | 6% | +16.0 | +44.9 | -29.2 | -31.7 |