Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/15 Game 1
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 16,000, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +50.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 6,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +15.8 | -7.8 | -3.9 | -4.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 38% | 19% | 20% | 22% | -4.0 | +2.5 | +23.2 | -21.7 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 33% | 21% | 36% | 11% | +22.4 | -6.1 | -0.8 | -15.5 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 51% | 12% | 31% | 5% | +11.1 | +4.4 | -13.6 | -1.9 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 66% | 12% | 18% | 4% | -28.2 | -0.9 | +3.2 | +25.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,300 from Murakami Jun | 40% | 19% | 27% | 14% | +0.4 | +8.9 | +0.5 | -9.9 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 16,000 | 39% | 24% | 28% | 9% | -29.6 | +50.8 | -12.7 | -8.6 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 7% | 78% | 11% | 4% | -2.0 | -2.4 | +21.1 | -16.7 |
| South 3 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 5% | 75% | 19% | 1% | -2.3 | +12.2 | -8.6 | -1.3 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 94% | 4% | 1% | -4.4 | +0.9 | +11.3 | -7.8 |