Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/18 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Arisa Date, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +32.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,600 from Arisa Date | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +0.2 | -9.4 | +8.0 | +1.2 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 23% | 19% | 32% | 26% | -7.3 | -1.8 | +0.1 | +9.0 |
| East 3 | Arisa Date ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 20% | 17% | 31% | 32% | -9.4 | +9.7 | -0.4 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 23% | 30% | 34% | +3.0 | -3.7 | -2.9 | +3.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 20% | 27% | 35% | -6.5 | +18.8 | -3.7 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 13% | 35% | 25% | 27% | -4.8 | -28.5 | +1.3 | +32.0 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Arisa Date | 6% | 13% | 21% | 61% | +0.1 | -18.9 | +15.7 | +3.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 2% | 29% | 64% | -7.1 | +5.3 | -2.1 | +3.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 2% | 2% | 23% | 73% | -21.8 | +6.3 | -9.5 | +25.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +7.4 | +0.1 | +1.9 | -9.4 |