Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/18 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Date Arisa, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +29.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,600 from Date Arisa | 25% | 27% | 23% | 25% | -3.6 | -9.9 | +11.7 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 21% | 20% | 32% | 27% | -4.6 | -3.0 | +0.3 | +7.3 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 19% | 18% | 32% | 32% | -10.8 | +8.1 | +1.1 | +1.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 14% | 22% | 31% | 33% | +2.5 | -3.3 | -4.0 | +4.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 20% | 28% | 38% | -2.6 | +16.9 | -4.7 | -9.6 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 14% | 32% | 25% | 28% | -5.5 | -27.5 | +3.5 | +29.4 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Date Arisa | 7% | 11% | 23% | 59% | -0.6 | -17.9 | +14.2 | +4.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 4% | 2% | 30% | 64% | -6.4 | +6.4 | -3.7 | +3.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 2% | 3% | 22% | 73% | -22.5 | +5.4 | -8.3 | +25.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +7.0 | +0.5 | +1.8 | -9.4 |