Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/18 Game 2
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+97.2pt). The game was decided in South 1: Rio Tojyo tsumo 18,000, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +47.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,600 from Rio Tojyo | 26% | 27% | 22% | 25% | -6.9 | -4.7 | +3.7 | +8.0 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 22% | 26% | 31% | -1.4 | -6.6 | -3.3 | +11.2 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 19% | 18% | 24% | 39% | -0.2 | -0.6 | -33.8 | +34.6 |
| East 4 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 11% | 4% | 74% | +19.3 | -5.1 | -4.3 | -10.0 |
| South 1 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 10% | 3% | 64% | +47.2 | -13.9 | -9.0 | -24.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 77% | 2% | 1% | 20% | +2.0 | +2.5 | -1.4 | -3.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 78% | 3% | 1% | 17% | +19.8 | +1.2 | -18.1 | -2.9 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 5,800 from Kazunori Takizawa | 93% | 1% | 0% | 6% | +9.6 | +1.8 | -0.3 | -11.1 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | -2.0 | +22.6 | -15.6 | -5.0 |
| South 2 | Rio Tojyo ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 97% | 2% | 0% | 1% | +2.2 | -0.2 | +0.1 | -2.1 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +0.9 | +14.9 | -0.8 | -15.0 |
| South 4 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 4,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +5.0 | +1.1 | -0.3 | -5.8 |