Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/18 Game 2
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+97.2pt). The game was decided in South 1: Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +47.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,600 from Tojyo Rio | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -6.0 | -3.3 | +1.0 | +8.3 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 23% | 25% | 32% | -0.1 | -8.0 | -3.8 | +11.9 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 20% | 17% | 22% | 41% | -1.6 | +2.2 | -33.3 | +32.7 |
| East 4 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 11% | 4% | 74% | +20.0 | -6.0 | -4.9 | -9.2 |
| South 1 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 10% | 3% | 64% | +47.7 | -13.5 | -8.7 | -25.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 77% | 3% | 1% | 19% | +1.4 | +1.5 | -1.1 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 78% | 3% | 1% | 18% | +20.7 | +1.8 | -17.9 | -4.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 5,800 from Takizawa Kazunori | 93% | 1% | 0% | 6% | +9.2 | +1.5 | +0.9 | -11.6 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | -1.7 | +22.1 | -16.1 | -4.3 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | +2.1 | -0.9 | -0.3 | -0.9 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +0.5 | +16.3 | -1.2 | -15.6 |
| South 4 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 4,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +5.1 | +0.9 | -0.3 | -5.7 |