Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/19 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +45.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 26% | 25% | 26% | -9.4 | -5.8 | -4.8 | +19.9 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,600 from Kenji Katsumata | 17% | 20% | 22% | 41% | +6.2 | -1.4 | -1.2 | -3.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 18% | 22% | 39% | -2.6 | +3.5 | +5.3 | -6.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Shingo Hori | 21% | 20% | 25% | 34% | -2.2 | -9.9 | -2.6 | +14.7 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,700 | 17% | 15% | 21% | 47% | -1.2 | -3.2 | +8.8 | -4.4 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 14% | 27% | 43% | -17.2 | +26.3 | -5.9 | -3.2 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 8% | 29% | 24% | 39% | -15.4 | -1.4 | +18.4 | -1.6 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 26% | 37% | 36% | -5.6 | +45.8 | -28.2 | -12.0 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 86% | 3% | 11% | -2.9 | +10.4 | -6.8 | -0.6 |