Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/19 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +48.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -15.1 | -3.4 | -3.5 | +22.0 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 15% | 21% | 23% | 41% | +11.5 | -3.7 | -3.4 | -4.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 23% | 18% | 21% | 39% | -4.7 | +4.8 | +4.9 | -5.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Hori Shingo | 20% | 22% | 23% | 35% | -1.3 | -10.2 | -1.3 | +12.7 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,700 | 19% | 15% | 20% | 46% | -2.9 | -0.8 | +8.3 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 15% | 27% | 42% | -17.1 | +23.4 | -4.9 | -1.5 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 8% | 29% | 23% | 40% | -14.3 | -3.2 | +18.8 | -1.3 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 24% | 36% | 38% | -6.9 | +48.4 | -28.6 | -12.9 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 86% | 2% | 11% | -2.5 | +10.1 | -6.9 | -0.8 |