Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/21 Game 1
Kanako Maruyama finished 1st (+54.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kanako Maruyama tsumo 8,000, which moved Kanako Maruyama's expected points by +26.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -4.2 | +1.7 | +22.8 | -20.3 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 20% | 23% | 43% | 14% | +2.2 | -7.6 | +4.7 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 18% | 49% | 13% | -6.0 | +26.2 | -13.7 | -6.5 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 37% | 35% | 11% | +7.9 | -0.2 | -1.4 | -6.4 |
| South 1 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 5,200 | 22% | 37% | 34% | 8% | -12.6 | +20.5 | -6.0 | -1.9 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 61% | 24% | 6% | +6.6 | -3.4 | +3.0 | -6.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 58% | 25% | 4% | -2.6 | +5.6 | -5.4 | +2.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Aiko Hinata | 11% | 68% | 15% | 5% | -10.2 | +13.5 | +7.2 | -10.5 |