Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/21 Game 1
Maruyama Kanako finished 1st (+54.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Maruyama Kanako tsumo 8,000, which moved Maruyama Kanako's expected points by +28.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -5.6 | +1.0 | +23.2 | -18.6 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 19% | 25% | 42% | 14% | +1.0 | -9.8 | +10.5 | -1.6 |
| East 3 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 16% | 51% | 13% | -6.1 | +28.8 | -16.9 | -5.8 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 39% | 34% | 11% | +11.0 | -0.2 | -3.8 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 5,200 | 23% | 40% | 31% | 7% | -12.4 | +18.3 | -3.3 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 11% | 60% | 24% | 5% | +4.6 | -1.3 | +1.7 | -5.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 11% | 61% | 24% | 4% | -2.6 | +3.5 | -4.6 | +3.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Hinata Aiko | 11% | 68% | 15% | 6% | -10.0 | +14.1 | +7.4 | -11.5 |