Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/21 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+53.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +43.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -1.9 | +8.0 | -1.6 | -4.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 30% | 23% | 24% | +2.0 | +2.5 | -2.4 | -2.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 24% | 32% | 22% | 22% | +2.4 | -5.1 | +25.7 | -23.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 23% | 26% | 40% | 11% | -3.3 | +2.1 | -4.0 | +5.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 28% | 37% | 13% | +3.3 | -2.4 | -4.2 | +3.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 25% | 28% | 33% | 14% | -0.2 | -1.2 | +8.2 | -6.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 26% | 40% | 11% | -7.0 | -7.5 | +0.9 | +13.7 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 19% | 21% | 43% | 17% | -2.4 | +43.2 | -41.7 | +0.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken | 13% | 63% | 10% | 13% | -17.5 | +2.1 | -2.7 | +18.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 4% | 68% | 8% | 20% | +1.1 | -9.8 | +5.7 | +2.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 7% | 53% | 13% | 27% | -2.6 | +19.6 | -15.9 | -1.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 1% | 85% | 1% | 14% | +4.8 | -7.5 | +1.1 | +1.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 75% | 3% | 19% | +5.4 | +10.7 | -11.1 | -5.0 |