Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/21 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+53.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +44.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 23% | 27% | -3.6 | +7.2 | +1.0 | -4.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 28% | 25% | 24% | +5.6 | +4.7 | -6.4 | -3.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 26% | 33% | 20% | 21% | -0.9 | -4.6 | +26.4 | -21.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 27% | 39% | 11% | -3.4 | +0.7 | -3.1 | +5.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 27% | 37% | 13% | +5.8 | -5.7 | -2.0 | +1.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 36% | 14% | -2.4 | -0.2 | +7.8 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 23% | 43% | 10% | -6.6 | -5.4 | -0.8 | +12.8 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 20% | 20% | 44% | 17% | -2.2 | +44.3 | -42.6 | +0.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 13% | 63% | 11% | 14% | -17.3 | +1.5 | -2.9 | +18.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 68% | 7% | 20% | +0.8 | -9.2 | +5.1 | +3.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 7% | 54% | 12% | 27% | -3.0 | +18.8 | -14.3 | -1.5 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 84% | 1% | 13% | +4.3 | -6.6 | +0.6 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 76% | 2% | 18% | +6.0 | +10.0 | -10.8 | -5.3 |