Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/22 Game 1
Date Arisa finished 1st (+60.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 1,300 from Nikaido Aki | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -5.8 | -1.6 | +1.9 | +5.5 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Okada Sayaka | 22% | 24% | 26% | 29% | +9.4 | -1.6 | -2.0 | -5.8 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 7,800 | 28% | 22% | 24% | 26% | -7.0 | -5.6 | +22.3 | -9.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 5,200 from Uotani Yuumi | 22% | 18% | 41% | 19% | +15.2 | -13.6 | -0.3 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 33% | 12% | 39% | 17% | +14.4 | -10.8 | -2.6 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 45% | 6% | 34% | 15% | -8.5 | -21.7 | +34.4 | -4.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 23% | 1% | 71% | 5% | +0.6 | -4.0 | +2.0 | +1.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 0% | 76% | 4% | +33.2 | -2.1 | -25.4 | -5.7 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 73% | 0% | 24% | 2% | -40.7 | -0.4 | +20.3 | +20.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 12% | 0% | 75% | 13% | +8.0 | +0.5 | +11.4 | -19.8 |