Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/22 Game 1
Arisa Date finished 1st (+60.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Arisa Date ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani, which moved Arisa Date's expected points by +34.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 1,300 from Aki Nikaido | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -3.9 | -1.5 | +1.6 | +3.7 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,000 from Sayaka Okada | 22% | 23% | 27% | 28% | +8.7 | -0.7 | -1.1 | -7.0 |
| East 3 | Arisa Date tsumo 7,800 | 29% | 22% | 25% | 25% | -9.7 | -4.3 | +22.5 | -8.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 20% | 19% | 43% | 18% | +18.6 | -17.7 | -1.4 | +0.5 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 34% | 9% | 40% | 18% | +14.3 | -7.4 | -3.2 | -3.8 |
| South 1 | Arisa Date ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 47% | 7% | 35% | 12% | -9.5 | -22.0 | +34.1 | -2.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 1% | 70% | 6% | +0.1 | -3.6 | +2.9 | +0.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 0% | 78% | 5% | +34.1 | -2.2 | -26.3 | -5.6 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Okada ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 74% | 0% | 24% | 2% | -40.5 | -0.8 | +20.9 | +20.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 13% | 0% | 76% | 12% | +7.6 | +0.5 | +10.9 | -19.0 |