Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

10/22 Game 2

Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+65.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +34.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance	Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance	Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance	Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance	Mari Takamiya Expected pt change	Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change	Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change	Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change
East 1	Exhaustive draw	23%	24%	27%	26%	+5.9	-3.2	+0.2	-2.8
East 1, 1 honba	Makoto Sawazaki ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya	28%	22%	25%	24%	-8.6	-0.6	+9.4	-0.2
East 2	Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Makoto Sawazaki	22%	21%	34%	23%	+0.2	+31.1	-32.0	+0.6
East 2, 1 honba	Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 4,000	20%	44%	13%	22%	-3.6	-3.9	+9.7	-2.2
East 3	Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000	19%	43%	18%	21%	+24.6	-4.5	-13.5	-6.5
East 4	Makoto Sawazaki ron 1,300 from Kenji Katsumata	36%	37%	11%	17%	+3.1	-3.9	+2.9	-2.1
South 1	Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000	40%	34%	11%	15%	+34.5	-12.6	-10.6	-11.4
South 1, 1 honba	Mari Takamiya ron 2,900 from Makoto Sawazaki	78%	12%	4%	6%	+5.5	+0.4	-6.6	+0.7
South 1, 2 honba	Kenji Katsumata ron 1,000 from Seiichi Kondo	83%	11%	2%	4%	-0.4	+3.4	-0.9	-2.2
South 2	Kenji Katsumata ron 1,500 from Makoto Sawazaki	85%	10%	2%	3%	-1.0	+2.9	-2.0	+0.1
South 2, 1 honba	Mari Takamiya tsumo 5,200	83%	13%	2%	3%	+13.1	-8.7	-3.2	-1.2
South 3	Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000	96%	1%	1%	2%	+9.9	+1.0	-10.9	0.0
South 4	Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000	100%	0%	0%	0%	-5.0	-17.2	-5.6	+27.7
South 4, 1 honba	Makoto Sawazaki ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya	98%	0%	0%	2%	-11.4	-3.7	+13.6	+1.5

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)