Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/25 Game 1
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+86.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +34.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 1,500 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -7.0 | +8.2 | -2.7 | +1.4 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 2,700 | 20% | 30% | 23% | 27% | -3.5 | -5.9 | +12.9 | -3.5 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 19% | 24% | 32% | 25% | +34.0 | +0.5 | -34.5 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 22% | 10% | 24% | +33.0 | -7.4 | -6.4 | -19.3 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 18,000 from Suzuki Taro | 81% | 9% | 4% | 6% | +25.1 | +1.2 | -30.5 | +4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 96% | 2% | 0% | 1% | -2.0 | +7.0 | -4.0 | -1.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 96% | 3% | 0% | 2% | -0.6 | +5.0 | -1.8 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 95% | 3% | 0% | 2% | +1.9 | -1.6 | -3.0 | +2.8 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 4,800 from Shiratori Sho | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | +0.2 | +1.3 | +5.3 | -6.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +2.1 | -1.3 | +0.9 | -1.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +2.7 | +1.1 | -4.5 | +0.7 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +0.1 | +5.3 | +0.3 | -5.7 |