Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/25 Game 1
Rumi Nikaido finished 1st (+86.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Rumi Nikaido ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Rumi Nikaido's expected points by +35.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 1,500 | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -5.4 | +8.5 | -2.6 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,700 | 21% | 30% | 24% | 25% | -3.7 | -6.6 | +11.9 | -1.6 |
| East 3 | Rumi Nikaido ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 19% | 24% | 32% | 25% | +35.2 | +2.0 | -37.4 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 45% | 24% | 8% | 23% | +31.2 | -9.1 | -4.0 | -18.1 |
| South 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 18,000 from Taro Suzuki | 80% | 10% | 4% | 6% | +24.5 | +1.8 | -30.6 | +4.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 95% | 3% | 0% | 2% | -0.3 | +6.6 | -4.5 | -1.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 96% | 3% | 0% | 1% | -1.2 | +4.8 | -1.1 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 96% | 3% | 0% | 1% | +1.1 | -2.4 | -3.0 | +4.3 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 4,800 from Sho Shiratori | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0.0 | +1.9 | +5.9 | -7.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 98% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +2.8 | -2.0 | +1.2 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +2.4 | +1.8 | -5.2 | +1.1 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 100% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +0.2 | +5.1 | +0.7 | -6.0 |