Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/25 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +30.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 27% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -34.1 | +0.5 | +32.7 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 22% | 50% | 22% | -7.5 | +30.7 | -13.3 | -9.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 5% | 46% | 33% | 15% | -1.3 | -0.4 | +11.1 | -9.3 |
| East 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 1,300 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 4% | 42% | 43% | 10% | -1.3 | +1.3 | -4.4 | +4.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 46% | 39% | 12% | +2.8 | +5.8 | -1.6 | -7.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Jun Murakami | 5% | 53% | 35% | 8% | -10.1 | +11.5 | -1.1 | -0.4 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 0% | 68% | 28% | 4% | -15.4 | -13.8 | +28.2 | +1.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 35% | 62% | 3% | -1.3 | +5.5 | -4.0 | -0.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,300 from Jun Murakami | 0% | 42% | 57% | 2% | -3.0 | +27.8 | -21.9 | -2.9 |