Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/25 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +33.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -29.5 | -1.0 | +31.4 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 22% | 48% | 21% | -10.6 | +33.8 | -13.4 | -9.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 5% | 48% | 32% | 15% | -1.2 | -3.2 | +14.0 | -9.6 |
| East 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,300 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 4% | 43% | 44% | 10% | -0.1 | +2.6 | -7.1 | +4.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 4% | 47% | 36% | 13% | +1.9 | +3.6 | +1.5 | -7.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Murakami Jun | 4% | 52% | 37% | 8% | -9.5 | +12.2 | -2.3 | -0.4 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 0% | 66% | 28% | 5% | -15.8 | -13.6 | +28.8 | +0.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 34% | 64% | 2% | -1.2 | +5.6 | -3.8 | -0.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,300 from Murakami Jun | 0% | 40% | 58% | 2% | -3.0 | +28.1 | -22.8 | -2.4 |