Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/26 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+55.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +45.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -10.4 | +20.3 | -5.4 | -4.4 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 41% | 21% | 21% | -5.1 | -11.9 | +23.7 | -6.7 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 2,000 | 14% | 30% | 39% | 17% | +2.8 | +1.2 | -3.5 | -0.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 31% | 35% | 18% | +4.9 | +5.4 | -3.7 | -6.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 3,200 from Masato Hagiwara | 19% | 36% | 32% | 14% | -6.9 | +18.3 | -1.3 | -10.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 55% | 26% | 8% | -7.8 | +2.8 | +2.8 | +2.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 59% | 27% | 8% | +27.2 | -11.5 | -6.6 | -9.1 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 23% | 46% | 24% | 7% | -0.1 | -47.7 | +45.2 | +2.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 13% | 3% | 80% | 4% | -2.3 | +1.3 | +8.9 | -7.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 1% | 89% | 2% | -11.3 | +23.4 | -5.0 | -7.1 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,800 from Rio Tojyo | 4% | 5% | 89% | 2% | -13.8 | +3.3 | -0.9 | +11.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 7% | 88% | 4% | -17.3 | -16.6 | -8.3 | +42.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 1% | 5% | 78% | 16% | -6.1 | +24.7 | +10.1 | -28.7 |