Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/26 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+55.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +44.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -12.6 | +19.9 | -5.4 | -1.9 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 39% | 21% | 23% | -6.0 | -11.3 | +22.9 | -5.6 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,000 | 13% | 29% | 38% | 19% | +6.5 | +2.0 | -4.9 | -3.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 17% | 32% | 33% | 18% | +3.8 | +5.5 | -2.8 | -6.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 3,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 20% | 36% | 31% | 14% | -6.4 | +16.8 | +0.4 | -10.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 12% | 54% | 27% | 8% | -9.0 | +4.2 | +2.5 | +2.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 59% | 27% | 7% | +27.9 | -12.4 | -7.2 | -8.3 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 24% | 45% | 24% | 6% | -1.6 | -45.6 | +44.6 | +2.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 13% | 3% | 79% | 6% | -1.2 | +0.9 | +9.5 | -9.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 2% | 90% | 2% | -11.6 | +23.6 | -6.2 | -5.8 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,800 from Tojyo Rio | 4% | 7% | 88% | 2% | -12.8 | +2.8 | +1.3 | +8.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 7% | 90% | 3% | -18.5 | -15.5 | -9.5 | +43.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 1% | 6% | 78% | 15% | -5.7 | +23.4 | +10.2 | -27.9 |