Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/26 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+52.3pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 16,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +44.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +3.2 | -3.0 | -3.8 | +3.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 27% | 23% | 22% | 28% | -2.1 | -8.2 | +11.0 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 18% | 30% | 26% | -11.7 | +32.1 | -9.6 | -10.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,500 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 17% | 41% | 23% | 19% | +0.4 | +2.8 | +0.8 | -4.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 17% | 42% | 24% | 17% | +2.9 | +4.2 | -3.0 | -4.0 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 18% | 47% | 20% | 15% | +4.0 | +4.3 | -5.1 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 19% | 50% | 17% | 14% | -0.3 | -2.2 | +23.4 | -20.9 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 16,000 | 18% | 46% | 30% | 6% | +44.9 | -12.3 | -24.0 | -8.6 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 57% | 29% | 11% | 3% | -2.6 | +2.4 | -9.0 | +9.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 55% | 31% | 9% | 5% | -5.8 | -10.5 | -14.1 | +30.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 51% | 27% | 6% | 16% | -8.1 | -8.2 | +38.7 | -22.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 44% | 23% | 25% | 8% | -3.5 | +6.0 | +3.4 | -5.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 40% | 27% | 28% | 5% | +5.4 | -2.2 | -40.8 | +37.6 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 49% | 22% | 8% | 21% | +15.0 | +1.2 | -14.1 | -2.1 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 3,000 | 72% | 13% | 0% | 15% | -3.7 | -8.5 | -2.7 | +14.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 66% | 13% | 0% | 20% | +14.1 | +11.9 | -1.4 | -24.5 |