Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/28 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+38.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 18,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +43.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +43.4 | -14.9 | -14.3 | -14.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 60% | 14% | 13% | 14% | -2.1 | +1.1 | -2.3 | +3.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 59% | 13% | 13% | 16% | +2.1 | +1.8 | +2.9 | -6.8 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 61% | 15% | 13% | 12% | +2.3 | -16.7 | +16.3 | -1.9 |
| East 3 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 4,000 | 65% | 7% | 19% | 10% | +0.3 | -2.0 | -8.4 | +10.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 66% | 6% | 14% | 14% | -3.8 | -3.8 | +4.9 | +2.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 7,800 | 62% | 5% | 17% | 16% | -8.0 | -5.6 | -10.2 | +23.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 4,000 | 51% | 5% | 11% | 33% | +16.6 | -3.2 | -1.6 | -11.9 |
| South 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 72% | 3% | 8% | 17% | -13.9 | -4.1 | -0.7 | +18.7 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori ron 5,200 from Takaya Matsugase | 54% | 2% | 8% | 36% | +5.6 | -5.2 | +13.6 | -14.0 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori ron 2,900 from Takaya Matsugase | 66% | 0% | 14% | 20% | +0.1 | +0.4 | +10.2 | -10.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 67% | 0% | 18% | 14% | +12.4 | -0.8 | -3.2 | -8.3 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 87% | 0% | 5% | 8% | -16.6 | -3.2 | +32.1 | -12.4 |