Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/28 Game 2
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+38.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 18,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +44.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 25% | 28% | 24% | +44.1 | -13.8 | -17.2 | -13.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 60% | 14% | 13% | 12% | -2.3 | +0.3 | -3.3 | +5.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 58% | 13% | 12% | 17% | +2.1 | +3.8 | +1.6 | -7.4 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 60% | 16% | 12% | 13% | +2.6 | -17.5 | +17.0 | -2.1 |
| East 3 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 4,000 | 64% | 7% | 18% | 11% | +0.9 | -2.4 | -7.6 | +9.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 67% | 6% | 13% | 14% | -4.2 | -4.5 | +5.0 | +3.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 7,800 | 62% | 6% | 16% | 16% | -8.9 | -5.4 | -8.1 | +22.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 4,000 | 50% | 4% | 14% | 31% | +16.5 | -2.6 | -2.5 | -11.4 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 71% | 3% | 9% | 18% | -13.8 | -3.9 | -1.5 | +19.2 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya | 53% | 2% | 9% | 36% | +6.3 | -5.2 | +12.4 | -13.5 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo ron 2,900 from Matsugase Takaya | 67% | 0% | 13% | 20% | -0.2 | -0.3 | +11.2 | -10.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 66% | 0% | 19% | 15% | +12.0 | -0.3 | -3.4 | -8.3 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 86% | 0% | 5% | 9% | -16.2 | -3.2 | +32.0 | -12.6 |