Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
10/29 Game 1
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+64.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 16,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +52.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -3.6 | -2.8 | +7.6 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 23% | 30% | 25% | +34.9 | -18.9 | -8.9 | -7.1 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,000 | 50% | 10% | 21% | 18% | +2.3 | -3.1 | -9.2 | +10.0 |
| East 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,600 from Mari Takamiya | 54% | 9% | 14% | 23% | +9.8 | -0.4 | +0.3 | -9.7 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 16,000 | 67% | 7% | 12% | 14% | -27.2 | -12.8 | +52.5 | -12.5 |
| South 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 5% | 61% | 7% | +28.0 | -12.9 | -12.8 | -2.3 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 64% | 0% | 32% | 4% | -24.2 | -4.2 | +34.1 | -5.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 0% | 84% | 2% | -6.4 | -7.1 | -8.3 | +21.8 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 11% | 0% | 82% | 8% | -2.8 | +0.5 | +10.5 | -8.3 |