Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

10/29 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+71.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +25.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Takaharu Ooi● Arisa Date● Koshin Asakura● Sayaka Kayamori0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takaharu● Arisa● Koshin● Sayaka
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Arisa Date
1st-place chance
Koshin Asakura
1st-place chance
Sayaka Kayamori
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Arisa Date
Expected pt change
Koshin Asakura
Expected pt change
Sayaka Kayamori
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Koshin Asakura26%23%26%26%+11.5+2.2-10.2-3.5
East 1, 1 honbaKoshin Asakura ron 2,600 from Sayaka Kayamori33%24%20%23%-1.5+0.1+10.5-9.1
East 2Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Arisa Date31%24%26%18%+10.1-11.1+0.9+0.1
East 3Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori41%16%25%18%+25.8+0.3-4.7-21.4
East 4Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,00067%11%15%7%+7.3-3.9+1.9-5.3
South 1Exhaustive draw75%9%13%3%+4.7-4.3-4.8+4.4
South 1, 1 honbaExhaustive draw81%6%9%3%-1.8+2.9-1.8+0.7
South 2, 2 honbaKoshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori83%6%8%3%+0.4-4.0+22.0-18.5
South 3Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori82%1%16%1%+14.9+0.1-4.6-10.4
South 4Koshin Asakura tsumo 2,70099%0%1%0%0.0-0.8+4.4-3.5

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)