Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

10/29 Game 2

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+71.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +22.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Ooi Takaharu● Date Arisa● Asakura Koshin● Kayamori Sayaka0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Ooi● Date● Asakura● Kayamori
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultOoi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Date Arisa
1st-place chance
Asakura Koshin
1st-place chance
Kayamori Sayaka
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Date Arisa
Expected pt change
Asakura Koshin
Expected pt change
Kayamori Sayaka
Expected pt change
East 1Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Asakura Koshin26%24%25%25%+9.3-1.0-7.9-0.4
East 1, 1 honbaAsakura Koshin ron 2,600 from Kayamori Sayaka33%23%20%24%+0.1+0.6+11.0-11.7
East 2Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Date Arisa30%24%28%18%+11.4-9.5-1.5-0.4
East 3Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka42%17%25%16%+22.4-0.6-1.8-19.9
East 4Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,00064%12%17%7%+10.4-4.2-0.6-5.5
South 1Draw77%7%12%3%+3.6-3.2-3.4+2.9
South 1, 1 honbaDraw81%6%10%3%-2.0+2.9-4.1+3.2
South 2, 2 honbaAsakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka82%7%7%4%+1.0-4.2+23.0-19.8
South 3Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka83%1%15%1%+14.9+0.1-4.6-10.4
South 4Asakura Koshin tsumo 2,70099%0%1%0%-0.2-0.5+4.3-3.6

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)