Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

11/1 Game 1

Kanako Maruyama finished 1st (+55.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Kanako Maruyama ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara, which moved Kanako Maruyama's expected points by +28.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kanako Maruyama● Kotaro Uchikawa● Akina Mizuhara● Hisato Sasaki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Kanako● Kotaro● Akina● Hisato
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKanako Maruyama
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Akina Mizuhara
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Kanako Maruyama
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Akina Mizuhara
Expected pt change
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
East 1Exhaustive draw26%26%23%25%-5.7-3.3+7.5+1.6
East 2, 1 honbaKanako Maruyama ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara22%23%28%27%+28.2-2.4-23.1-2.6
East 3Exhaustive draw44%19%14%24%+2.1-4.2+5.3-3.2
East 3, 1 honbaKanako Maruyama ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa45%18%17%21%+16.2-8.4-6.3-1.5
East 4Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,00063%11%9%17%-2.2-8.8+25.5-14.6
South 1Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,00062%8%22%9%-2.5-2.5-1.3+6.3
South 2Exhaustive draw61%7%21%11%-2.6+5.0+1.7-4.0
South 2, 1 honbaAkina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa57%9%24%10%+4.2-16.9+14.1-1.3
South 3Exhaustive draw63%1%29%7%-7.6-3.6+6.3+4.9
South 3, 1 honbaKanako Maruyama ron 1,300 from Akina Mizuhara51%1%39%10%+10.5-1.6-9.6+0.7
South 4Exhaustive draw70%0%21%9%+13.2-0.1-6.1-7.0

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)