Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

11/1 Game 1

Maruyama Kanako finished 1st (+55.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Maruyama Kanako ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina, which moved Maruyama Kanako's expected points by +28.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Maruyama Kanako● Uchikawa Kotaro● Mizuhara Akina● Sasaki Hisato0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Maruyama● Uchikawa● Mizuhara● Sasaki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMaruyama Kanako
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Mizuhara Akina
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Maruyama Kanako
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
Mizuhara Akina
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
East 1Draw26%25%24%25%-3.5-1.9+6.2-0.8
East 2, 1 honbaMaruyama Kanako ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina22%24%29%25%+28.7-3.6-24.6-0.5
East 3Draw45%19%14%22%+3.9-4.3+4.2-3.8
East 3, 1 honbaMaruyama Kanako ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro49%16%16%19%+14.9-11.2-4.0+0.4
East 4Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,00065%9%9%18%-5.3-5.7+23.8-12.9
South 1Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,00060%7%22%11%+0.6-2.2-1.3+2.9
South 2Draw64%7%19%10%-5.0+4.2+4.2-3.4
South 2, 1 honbaMizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro57%9%24%11%+2.7-16.1+14.5-1.1
South 3Draw60%1%32%8%-5.2-3.5+4.2+4.4
South 3, 1 honbaMaruyama Kanako ron 1,300 from Mizuhara Akina52%1%39%9%+11.6-2.6-9.1+0.1
South 4Draw72%0%20%8%+11.8+0.3-6.3-5.8

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)