Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/1 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+60.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kobayashi Go tsumo 5,200, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +22.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | +4.1 | +4.8 | -2.9 | -6.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 29% | 23% | 22% | -7.3 | -2.7 | -2.2 | +12.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 27% | 22% | 30% | 0.0 | +7.1 | -4.1 | -3.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,600 from Date Arisa | 22% | 31% | 19% | 28% | -8.7 | -2.6 | +1.6 | +9.6 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Murakami Jun | 16% | 28% | 19% | 37% | +1.0 | +15.0 | -15.8 | -0.2 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 41% | 11% | 34% | -5.8 | +22.2 | -7.1 | -9.4 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,300 from Murakami Jun | 9% | 64% | 6% | 20% | -3.1 | +5.6 | -3.2 | +0.7 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Date Arisa | 4% | 74% | 4% | 17% | -1.8 | +0.3 | -3.5 | +5.0 |
| South 3 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 2% | 77% | 3% | 18% | +18.8 | +3.5 | -17.3 | -4.9 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo ron 7,700 from Date Arisa | 4% | 84% | 0% | 13% | -17.7 | -2.8 | +0.8 | +19.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 76% | 0% | 24% | -1.4 | -2.7 | +1.4 | +2.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 72% | 0% | 28% | -2.4 | +2.1 | -1.2 | +1.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 0% | 72% | 0% | 27% | +15.6 | +11.0 | -14.5 | -12.1 |