Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/2 Game 1
Setokuma Naoki finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000, which moved Setokuma Naoki's expected points by +52.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -14.9 | -4.5 | -3.9 | +23.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 15% | 20% | 22% | 42% | -2.6 | -7.6 | +3.0 | +7.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 15% | 22% | 50% | +24.6 | -4.8 | -15.4 | -4.4 |
| East 4 | Uotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Nikaido Rumi | 28% | 13% | 13% | 47% | +0.4 | -12.2 | +12.1 | -0.3 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 8% | 19% | 46% | -14.7 | -6.1 | -3.9 | +24.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 8% | 5% | 11% | 77% | +10.7 | -7.6 | -5.8 | +2.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 10% | 0% | 7% | 83% | -9.0 | -18.1 | +33.6 | -6.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 8% | 0% | 25% | 68% | +21.2 | -8.8 | -11.8 | -0.6 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 0% | 13% | 67% | +52.6 | -3.5 | -16.4 | -32.7 |