Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/2 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+54.1pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +43.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -4.3 | +5.7 | -4.5 | +3.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 22% | 30% | 22% | 26% | -2.5 | -1.7 | -1.6 | +5.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 28% | 21% | 31% | -4.5 | -11.4 | -4.3 | +20.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 16% | 18% | 18% | 48% | -4.3 | +4.8 | +4.8 | -5.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 14% | 21% | 22% | 43% | +10.1 | +1.4 | -4.7 | -6.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 22% | 23% | 18% | 38% | +1.6 | -1.5 | +5.5 | -5.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 22% | 23% | 22% | 33% | -5.6 | -36.2 | +43.4 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 4% | 61% | 25% | -5.4 | -11.9 | -9.7 | +27.0 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 5% | 0% | 41% | 54% | -1.7 | +11.1 | +14.7 | -24.0 |
| South 4 | Draw | 5% | 1% | 76% | 18% | -2.8 | -0.7 | -3.2 | +6.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 3% | 0% | 71% | 26% | -20.0 | +44.4 | +13.1 | -37.4 |