Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/2 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+54.1pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +42.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -4.6 | +3.3 | -0.9 | +2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -4.4 | +1.7 | -4.0 | +6.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 26% | 22% | 31% | -4.0 | -9.1 | -5.3 | +18.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 18% | 18% | 47% | -4.7 | +4.3 | +3.4 | -3.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 3,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 14% | 21% | 20% | 45% | +10.2 | +0.7 | -1.4 | -9.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 24% | 19% | 37% | +0.9 | -2.3 | +6.2 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 22% | 23% | 23% | 32% | -4.3 | -36.9 | +42.0 | -0.8 |
| South 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 4% | 61% | 24% | -7.5 | -11.3 | -9.2 | +27.9 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 5% | 0% | 41% | 54% | -1.2 | +11.5 | +14.7 | -25.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 1% | 77% | 18% | -2.1 | -0.9 | -3.7 | +6.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 3% | 0% | 70% | 26% | -20.1 | +44.4 | +13.1 | -37.4 |