Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/4 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+82.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +27.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -13.1 | +22.3 | -4.6 | -4.6 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 16% | 42% | 20% | 22% | -0.2 | +7.9 | -8.0 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 48% | 15% | 21% | -10.8 | +27.6 | -7.7 | -9.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 7% | 75% | 7% | 11% | -7.5 | +26.8 | -7.8 | -11.5 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 1% | 94% | 3% | 2% | +1.8 | +4.4 | -8.2 | +1.9 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 95% | 1% | 2% | -4.9 | -4.9 | -6.9 | +16.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 94% | 1% | 4% | +4.1 | -0.5 | -3.0 | -0.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 1% | 95% | 0% | 4% | -0.1 | +4.5 | -5.2 | +0.8 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 1% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -3.8 | -1.4 | -0.2 | +5.4 |
| South 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +15.7 | -5.1 | -5.2 | -5.4 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 7,700 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -16.3 | +0.3 | +12.7 | +3.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 0% | 98% | 0% | 1% | +10.0 | +0.7 | -5.8 | -4.9 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -30.0 | +0.7 | +24.9 | +4.4 |