Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/4 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+82.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +29.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -13.2 | +19.0 | -4.3 | -1.5 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 17% | 38% | 21% | 24% | +0.2 | +9.4 | -8.5 | -1.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 46% | 16% | 22% | -10.2 | +29.0 | -8.8 | -10.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000 | 8% | 74% | 8% | 11% | -7.5 | +28.4 | -8.8 | -12.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 1% | 94% | 2% | 2% | -1.0 | +4.4 | -5.5 | +2.1 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 96% | 1% | 2% | -4.9 | -6.8 | -6.8 | +18.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 1% | 93% | 1% | 5% | +5.1 | +0.6 | -3.9 | -1.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 1% | 94% | 0% | 5% | +0.8 | +4.4 | -4.3 | -0.9 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 1% | 98% | 0% | 1% | -4.8 | -1.3 | -0.9 | +7.0 |
| South 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | +16.5 | -5.4 | -5.8 | -5.3 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 7,700 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 0% | 98% | 0% | 1% | -17.6 | 0.0 | +13.5 | +4.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | +11.2 | +0.9 | -6.2 | -6.0 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -30.1 | +0.9 | +24.8 | +4.4 |