Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/4 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +54.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +2.8 | -0.8 | +0.7 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 5,800 from Koshin Asakura | 27% | 24% | 24% | 24% | +16.7 | -1.4 | -0.4 | -14.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 39% | 23% | 24% | 15% | -6.5 | -3.0 | +12.0 | -2.6 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 34% | 20% | 32% | 14% | +3.6 | -3.0 | -0.9 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 38% | 18% | 30% | 14% | +1.4 | -6.1 | -2.6 | +7.3 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 1,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 39% | 15% | 29% | 18% | -0.3 | +3.7 | +1.8 | -5.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 39% | 16% | 31% | 14% | -6.7 | -3.7 | +4.3 | +6.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,000 from Koshin Asakura | 31% | 16% | 35% | 18% | +21.8 | -7.3 | -1.0 | -13.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 59% | 5% | 27% | 9% | -3.3 | -3.2 | +6.9 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 52% | 5% | 34% | 9% | +7.3 | -4.8 | -13.4 | +10.9 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 68% | 4% | 15% | 13% | -25.3 | -22.3 | +54.1 | -6.6 |