Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/4 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +53.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +3.9 | -1.6 | -0.6 | -1.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 5,800 from Asakura Koshin | 30% | 22% | 24% | 25% | +17.8 | -1.3 | -0.9 | -15.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 41% | 21% | 22% | 16% | -7.8 | -2.5 | +12.7 | -2.4 |
| East 2 | Asakura Koshin ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 35% | 20% | 31% | 14% | +2.7 | -7.9 | +2.8 | +2.5 |
| East 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 37% | 14% | 33% | 15% | 0.0 | +1.1 | -6.7 | +5.6 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 38% | 15% | 28% | 19% | +1.1 | +1.3 | +1.0 | -3.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 40% | 15% | 29% | 16% | -4.2 | -5.1 | +6.2 | +3.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,000 from Asakura Koshin | 36% | 13% | 34% | 17% | +18.9 | -5.3 | -1.7 | -12.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 58% | 6% | 26% | 10% | -3.9 | -2.4 | +8.4 | -2.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 51% | 5% | 35% | 9% | +8.5 | -6.4 | -13.8 | +11.8 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 69% | 4% | 15% | 13% | -25.8 | -21.5 | +53.7 | -6.4 |