Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/5 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+67.9pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +39.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 26% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -3.1 | -0.8 | -5.8 | +9.6 |
| East 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 1,300 from Suzuki Taro | 23% | 24% | 20% | 32% | +1.2 | -5.6 | -2.0 | +6.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 25% | 20% | 19% | 37% | +7.6 | -2.3 | -2.5 | -2.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 18% | 17% | 35% | -6.5 | -6.5 | +26.9 | -13.9 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 25% | 15% | 36% | 23% | -33.7 | +30.3 | +2.0 | +1.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 6% | 35% | 35% | 24% | +3.7 | +2.0 | -3.1 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 8% | 36% | 33% | 23% | +3.3 | +39.7 | -40.2 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 3,900 | 3% | 83% | 4% | 10% | -3.3 | +8.9 | -2.6 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hori Shingo ron 6,400 from Tojyo Rio | 1% | 90% | 3% | 6% | +22.3 | +0.8 | -3.3 | -19.8 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 2% | 94% | 2% | 2% | +13.0 | +1.9 | -17.5 | +2.6 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -0.3 | -0.6 | +27.1 | -26.2 |