Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/5 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+67.9pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +39.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rio Tojyo ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 25% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -2.4 | +2.7 | -11.0 | +10.7 |
| East 2 | Rio Tojyo ron 1,300 from Taro Suzuki | 22% | 26% | 19% | 33% | +2.8 | -7.5 | -1.2 | +5.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 19% | 20% | 38% | +6.5 | -2.0 | -3.5 | -1.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 18% | 16% | 37% | -5.6 | -5.3 | +27.8 | -16.9 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 25% | 16% | 36% | 23% | -32.6 | +28.6 | +2.4 | +1.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 34% | 36% | 23% | +4.8 | +2.4 | -3.8 | -3.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 8% | 37% | 33% | 22% | -0.2 | +39.3 | -38.9 | -0.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 3,900 | 2% | 83% | 5% | 10% | -1.5 | +9.1 | -4.4 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Shingo Hori ron 6,400 from Rio Tojyo | 1% | 91% | 3% | 6% | +21.9 | +0.7 | -2.7 | -19.9 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 2% | 94% | 2% | 2% | +13.2 | +1.6 | -17.6 | +2.7 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 97% | 0% | 2% | 0.0 | -0.4 | +27.1 | -26.8 |