Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/5 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+64.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +22.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 7,700 from Sawazaki Makoto | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | +20.1 | -1.1 | -19.8 | +0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 6,400 from Kondo Seiichi | 39% | 25% | 13% | 24% | +2.9 | -18.6 | +15.4 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 41% | 14% | 21% | 24% | -1.5 | -21.7 | +0.3 | +22.9 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 37% | 5% | 18% | 40% | -1.7 | -1.6 | -10.1 | +13.4 |
| East 4 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 4,000 | 34% | 4% | 10% | 52% | -1.5 | -4.6 | +12.4 | -6.3 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko | 32% | 3% | 16% | 49% | -15.0 | 0.0 | -1.2 | +16.3 |
| South 2 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 5,200 from Kondo Seiichi | 14% | 3% | 13% | 70% | -2.8 | -11.6 | +12.7 | +1.6 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 0% | 17% | 73% | -4.0 | -0.9 | -8.9 | +13.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 3% | 0% | 2% | 95% | -11.5 | +0.6 | +9.1 | +1.8 |