Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/5 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+64.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +19.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 7,700 from Makoto Sawazaki | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +25.0 | -0.3 | -22.2 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 6,400 from Seiichi Kondo | 42% | 23% | 12% | 22% | -3.4 | -16.1 | +17.1 | +2.4 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 39% | 16% | 20% | 25% | +2.2 | -21.1 | -0.6 | +19.6 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,200 | 39% | 5% | 18% | 37% | -1.3 | -3.6 | -9.2 | +14.1 |
| East 4 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 4,000 | 35% | 4% | 10% | 52% | -4.5 | -2.0 | +10.1 | -3.6 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata | 32% | 4% | 15% | 50% | -13.5 | -2.9 | +1.1 | +15.3 |
| South 2 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 5,200 from Seiichi Kondo | 14% | 2% | 14% | 70% | -2.3 | -10.9 | +11.5 | +1.7 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 10% | 0% | 17% | 73% | -5.0 | -0.7 | -8.3 | +14.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 0% | 2% | 96% | -10.5 | +0.6 | +8.7 | +1.2 |