Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/8 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+50.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 4,000, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +20.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -3.1 | +32.2 | -2.3 | -26.8 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 50% | 21% | 8% | -1.8 | -4.2 | -3.5 | +9.4 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 20% | 47% | 19% | 14% | +12.5 | +0.1 | -12.1 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 1,300 from Takaya Matsugase | 27% | 48% | 12% | 14% | +1.0 | +0.9 | +6.1 | -7.9 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 3,900 from Takaya Matsugase | 27% | 50% | 14% | 8% | -2.7 | -13.0 | +17.2 | -1.5 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 37% | 27% | 9% | +20.3 | -10.3 | -6.5 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 51% | 23% | 19% | 7% | +4.0 | -0.1 | -6.1 | +2.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 5,200 from Takaya Matsugase | 58% | 20% | 11% | 10% | +19.4 | -24.8 | +18.8 | -13.5 |