Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/8 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+50.9pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +19.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 27% | 25% | 26% | 23% | -3.4 | +34.4 | -4.7 | -26.3 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 51% | 19% | 10% | -1.3 | -6.0 | -3.2 | +10.5 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 20% | 47% | 18% | 14% | +10.2 | +3.1 | -10.6 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,300 from Matsugase Takaya | 26% | 51% | 12% | 12% | +1.8 | -1.9 | +6.6 | -6.5 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,900 from Matsugase Takaya | 27% | 49% | 15% | 9% | 0.0 | -13.3 | +13.8 | -0.4 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 4,000 | 28% | 37% | 25% | 11% | +18.2 | -8.4 | -3.7 | -6.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 50% | 24% | 20% | 6% | +5.3 | -1.3 | -6.9 | +3.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya | 58% | 20% | 13% | 9% | +19.0 | -24.8 | +18.9 | -13.1 |