Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/8 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+68.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 18,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +51.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +8.4 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -7.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 24% | 24% | 21% | -14.5 | -5.1 | -6.0 | +25.6 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 18% | 22% | 21% | 39% | -1.8 | +33.4 | -28.1 | -3.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 6,000 | 15% | 44% | 8% | 33% | -3.2 | +13.4 | -5.3 | -4.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 12% | 57% | 5% | 26% | -0.9 | +23.4 | -18.5 | -4.0 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 77% | 1% | 14% | -4.3 | -5.8 | +13.2 | -3.0 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000 | 7% | 76% | 3% | 14% | -13.9 | -11.0 | +36.7 | -11.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 6% | 66% | 14% | 14% | -1.9 | -2.9 | -4.6 | +9.4 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 64% | 11% | 19% | -5.8 | -13.7 | -11.2 | +30.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 4% | 44% | 7% | 44% | -4.4 | +6.0 | +34.9 | -36.5 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 56% | 25% | 16% | -9.7 | +23.4 | -9.2 | -4.5 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi | 0% | 84% | 10% | 6% | +0.1 | -0.1 | -16.7 | +16.8 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 86% | 5% | 9% | -2.8 | +1.9 | -7.4 | +8.3 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 90% | 0% | 10% | -6.3 | -39.1 | -6.2 | +51.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 8% | 0% | 92% | +0.7 | -1.9 | -0.1 | +1.3 |