Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/8 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+68.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +50.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +8.4 | -1.9 | +1.4 | -7.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 24% | 26% | 21% | -15.7 | -4.2 | -6.2 | +26.1 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 18% | 22% | 21% | 39% | +1.3 | +31.1 | -30.8 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 6,000 | 16% | 43% | 7% | 35% | -6.9 | +15.5 | -2.2 | -6.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 11% | 58% | 6% | 26% | +0.3 | +22.1 | -19.9 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 76% | 1% | 16% | -2.9 | -5.9 | +12.6 | -3.8 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000 | 7% | 75% | 3% | 15% | -15.5 | -10.0 | +39.0 | -13.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 5% | 67% | 15% | 14% | -1.1 | -1.3 | -4.4 | +6.8 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 67% | 11% | 17% | -6.6 | -14.3 | -11.8 | +32.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 4% | 46% | 7% | 43% | -2.8 | +2.7 | +34.4 | -34.3 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 54% | 26% | 17% | -10.1 | +24.4 | -9.3 | -5.0 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 83% | 10% | 7% | -1.1 | +0.3 | -16.6 | +17.4 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 86% | 5% | 10% | -2.1 | +2.1 | -7.4 | +7.3 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 90% | 0% | 10% | -5.9 | -37.8 | -6.6 | +50.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 10% | 0% | 90% | +0.5 | -3.0 | -0.3 | +2.7 |