Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/9 Game 1
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+65.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +35.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -2.3 | +26.6 | -0.9 | -23.4 |
| East 2 | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 43% | 24% | 12% | +35.3 | -21.7 | -7.9 | -5.7 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 22% | 17% | 9% | -4.5 | -2.1 | -12.5 | +19.1 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 49% | 22% | 11% | 18% | -5.6 | -8.1 | +35.2 | -21.5 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun | 43% | 18% | 33% | 7% | -3.8 | -1.4 | +4.4 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 2,000 | 38% | 17% | 36% | 9% | +3.7 | -10.9 | +1.2 | +6.0 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 44% | 8% | 37% | 10% | +29.1 | -23.3 | -10.2 | +4.4 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,900 from Okada Sayaka | 85% | 0% | 9% | 7% | +0.5 | -0.5 | -5.3 | +5.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 6,400 from Okada Sayaka | 87% | 0% | 6% | 8% | +12.6 | -3.5 | -13.7 | +4.6 |