Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/9 Game 1
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+65.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +31.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 24% | 27% | 24% | 25% | +1.3 | +20.5 | +0.4 | -22.2 |
| East 2 | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 41% | 23% | 12% | +31.6 | -18.1 | -6.2 | -7.3 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 22% | 19% | 9% | -2.4 | -3.2 | -15.4 | +21.0 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 12,000 | 49% | 23% | 10% | 19% | -7.1 | -8.5 | +36.4 | -20.8 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 1,000 from Jun Murakami | 42% | 18% | 32% | 8% | -3.2 | -2.0 | +6.3 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,000 | 37% | 16% | 39% | 8% | +3.2 | -9.5 | +0.2 | +6.1 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 43% | 9% | 37% | 11% | +30.1 | -25.2 | -9.2 | +4.2 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,900 from Sayaka Okada | 85% | 0% | 9% | 6% | +0.5 | -0.1 | -6.0 | +5.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 6,400 from Sayaka Okada | 87% | 0% | 5% | 8% | +12.4 | -3.0 | -14.0 | +4.6 |