Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

11/9 Game 2

Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+63.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +26.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Ken Sonoda● Shingo Hori● Kazunori Takizawa● Yuumi Uotani0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Ken● Shingo● Kazunori● Yuumi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShingo Hori
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
East 1Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,00024%25%24%26%-11.2-4.1+19.9-4.7
East 2Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,00017%22%39%22%-6.8-13.0+26.5-6.7
East 3Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani10%10%66%14%+20.9+2.2-3.5-19.6
East 4Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,00020%11%62%8%-1.8+12.1+1.2-11.4
South 1Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,00017%15%65%3%-10.2-4.2+13.7+0.7
South 2Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,0006%8%83%3%-6.9-21.8-0.6+29.3
South 3Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa3%1%88%8%+21.5-19.5+0.2-2.2
South 4Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani5%0%90%6%+2.3-1.5+6.1-6.9

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)