Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/11 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+70.5pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +32.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 7,700 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 26% | 25% | 26% | 24% | +20.4 | -21.0 | +1.7 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 40% | 14% | 25% | 22% | -2.1 | +8.4 | -7.3 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 38% | 18% | 21% | 23% | -20.0 | -5.3 | +22.8 | +2.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 23% | 13% | 38% | 26% | -3.3 | -0.4 | +6.7 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,700 | 21% | 14% | 43% | 23% | +14.4 | -2.2 | -9.7 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 30% | 14% | 34% | 22% | +1.3 | -1.3 | +15.7 | -15.7 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,500 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 29% | 11% | 49% | 11% | +9.3 | -7.1 | +0.5 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 36% | 7% | 48% | 9% | +4.9 | +4.3 | -6.5 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 43% | 9% | 40% | 9% | +32.5 | +0.6 | -34.9 | +1.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 82% | 6% | 8% | 5% | -1.1 | -3.7 | +2.9 | +1.9 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 84% | 4% | 7% | 5% | -9.8 | -17.6 | +35.8 | -8.4 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,200 | 68% | 0% | 29% | 3% | +17.4 | -3.5 | -13.2 | -0.7 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 95% | 0% | 4% | 1% | +5.8 | -7.9 | -0.2 | +2.4 |