Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/11 Game 2
Makoto Sawazaki finished 1st (+61.6pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Makoto Sawazaki ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido, which moved Makoto Sawazaki's expected points by +30.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -24.0 | +24.0 | +2.5 | -2.5 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 11% | 41% | 26% | 22% | -8.2 | -1.0 | +8.7 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 1,500 | 8% | 40% | 29% | 23% | -1.6 | +5.6 | -4.6 | +0.7 |
| East 4 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 9,600 from Yuumi Uotani | 7% | 46% | 25% | 23% | -18.2 | -1.1 | -2.8 | +22.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 3% | 41% | 20% | 37% | +2.2 | -4.0 | -28.2 | +30.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 28% | 5% | 66% | -5.5 | -3.9 | +18.7 | -9.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 28% | 12% | 59% | +5.1 | -2.7 | -2.0 | -0.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 26% | 11% | 60% | -7.3 | -3.5 | -1.7 | +12.6 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 16% | 7% | 76% | +14.1 | -11.9 | -6.0 | +3.8 |
| South 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 6% | 5% | 88% | -18.2 | -8.0 | +30.9 | -4.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 5% | 18% | 77% | -1.1 | +5.6 | -8.5 | +4.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 6% | 6% | 88% | +8.5 | -17.3 | +5.0 | +3.8 |