Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/11 Game 2
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+61.6pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +29.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -20.9 | +21.5 | -0.5 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 12% | 41% | 24% | 23% | -10.7 | +1.6 | +10.8 | -1.8 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 1,500 | 8% | 41% | 31% | 20% | -0.1 | +5.5 | -4.7 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 9,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 7% | 47% | 25% | 20% | -19.4 | -5.3 | -1.2 | +25.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 3% | 38% | 21% | 38% | +2.3 | -3.0 | -28.9 | +29.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 26% | 6% | 67% | -5.5 | -2.7 | +16.9 | -8.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 2% | 27% | 11% | 60% | +3.6 | -1.6 | -0.6 | -1.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 27% | 12% | 59% | -5.9 | -4.2 | -2.2 | +12.3 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 17% | 8% | 75% | +13.7 | -13.0 | -4.8 | +4.0 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 0% | 5% | 7% | 88% | -18.5 | -6.5 | +29.8 | -4.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 5% | 19% | 76% | -0.6 | +4.6 | -9.0 | +5.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 5% | 7% | 89% | +8.4 | -16.6 | +4.9 | +3.3 |