Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/12 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+57.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +43.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +43.5 | -14.5 | -15.2 | -13.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 1,100 | 62% | 12% | 14% | 13% | -2.6 | +0.6 | +6.7 | -4.6 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200 | 61% | 13% | 14% | 12% | +13.3 | -9.4 | -3.1 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 75% | 6% | 11% | 9% | +1.5 | +12.9 | -8.5 | -5.9 |
| East 4 | Kanako Maruyama ron 7,700 from Sho Shiratori | 78% | 8% | 7% | 7% | -14.9 | -2.9 | -0.9 | +18.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 64% | 11% | 9% | 16% | +6.7 | +1.9 | -5.1 | -3.6 |
| South 1 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 8,000 | 73% | 10% | 7% | 10% | -10.8 | -6.6 | -7.4 | +24.8 |
| South 2 | Kanako Maruyama ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 60% | 8% | 5% | 27% | -0.4 | -10.2 | -1.2 | +11.9 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,000 | 57% | 1% | 5% | 37% | +11.0 | +0.7 | -7.3 | -4.3 |
| South 4 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 3,000 | 77% | 0% | 0% | 23% | -4.3 | -1.3 | -1.8 | +7.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 68% | 0% | 0% | 32% | +12.8 | +7.6 | -4.5 | -16.0 |