Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/15 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+52.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +48.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -19.7 | -1.6 | -0.2 | +21.6 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 14% | 22% | 24% | 41% | -15.0 | +48.9 | -17.5 | -16.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 5,200 | 6% | 62% | 10% | 22% | -4.3 | -4.8 | +13.3 | -4.2 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,500 from Masato Hagiwara | 5% | 58% | 16% | 20% | -2.3 | -1.3 | +3.7 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 57% | 17% | 21% | +0.3 | +0.2 | -4.5 | +4.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 58% | 16% | 23% | -0.6 | -2.8 | +2.2 | +1.2 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 54% | 17% | 25% | +38.2 | -5.9 | -10.0 | -22.3 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 52% | 14% | 13% | -16.3 | -3.7 | -7.7 | +27.7 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 9% | 48% | 11% | 31% | -5.9 | -3.9 | +7.1 | +2.6 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 4,000 | 7% | 45% | 14% | 33% | +13.2 | +6.8 | -16.5 | -3.5 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 2,000 | 12% | 60% | 4% | 23% | -5.9 | +21.3 | -10.0 | -5.4 |