Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/15 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+52.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +45.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 25% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -22.7 | +2.9 | -1.1 | +20.9 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000 | 11% | 24% | 24% | 41% | -11.7 | +45.9 | -15.9 | -18.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 63% | 12% | 20% | -3.8 | -6.1 | +11.5 | -1.6 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,500 from Hagiwara Masato | 6% | 58% | 17% | 20% | -1.8 | -1.6 | +3.5 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 4% | 57% | 19% | 20% | -0.3 | +2.0 | -4.1 | +2.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 4% | 59% | 15% | 22% | -1.7 | -4.3 | +2.9 | +3.1 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 55% | 17% | 24% | +39.3 | -5.2 | -11.8 | -22.2 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 52% | 14% | 13% | -16.3 | -4.7 | -5.4 | +26.4 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 9% | 49% | 12% | 30% | -4.5 | -1.8 | +3.1 | +3.2 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 48% | 12% | 32% | +13.3 | +4.2 | -15.4 | -2.0 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 2,000 | 15% | 57% | 4% | 24% | -7.3 | +22.7 | -9.0 | -6.4 |