Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/15 Game 2
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+72.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +28.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 26% | 24% | 25% | 24% | +28.1 | -25.8 | -1.0 | -1.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 47% | 11% | 21% | 21% | -0.4 | -11.3 | +0.3 | +11.4 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 46% | 6% | 21% | 27% | +0.8 | -9.3 | -1.0 | +9.4 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 45% | 3% | 19% | 32% | +20.2 | -2.4 | -12.0 | -5.8 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 67% | 2% | 9% | 22% | +16.7 | -3.6 | -2.3 | -10.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 86% | 1% | 4% | 9% | -2.4 | +1.5 | -2.4 | +3.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 86% | 1% | 4% | 9% | +0.3 | +5.0 | -3.2 | -2.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Murakami Jun ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 88% | 1% | 3% | 7% | +1.1 | -6.8 | +8.6 | -2.9 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun ron 2,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 91% | 0% | 4% | 5% | -0.4 | -3.8 | +6.4 | -2.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 1,300 from Ooi Takaharu | 90% | 0% | 5% | 5% | +5.3 | -0.3 | -0.7 | -4.2 |
| South 4 | Murakami Jun ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +0.9 | 0.0 | +12.9 | -13.8 |