Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/16 Game 1
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+77.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +35.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 25% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -34.8 | +0.5 | +35.0 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 21% | 50% | 22% | -3.9 | -12.8 | -4.0 | +20.7 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 13% | 45% | 38% | -2.1 | -2.9 | -7.8 | +12.8 |
| East 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 4% | 11% | 35% | 50% | -14.4 | +18.9 | -0.5 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 19% | 34% | 46% | -9.6 | -6.2 | +26.0 | -10.2 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Okada ron 16,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 0% | 11% | 63% | 26% | +31.0 | -41.8 | +5.7 | +5.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 74% | 26% | +3.7 | -5.9 | +1.1 | +1.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 74% | 26% | -6.5 | -5.8 | +27.7 | -15.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 6,400 from Seiichi Kondo | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -3.4 | +11.0 | -8.5 | +1.0 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 18,000 from Sayaka Okada | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -30.2 | +11.9 | -6.9 | +25.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 1,600 from Aki Nikaido | 0% | 0% | 79% | 21% | -0.6 | +0.8 | +11.2 | -11.4 |