Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/16 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+77.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -32.5 | +0.2 | +32.1 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 21% | 50% | 22% | -4.3 | -13.2 | -3.3 | +20.8 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 13% | 45% | 36% | -1.7 | -0.6 | -8.6 | +10.8 |
| East 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 5% | 12% | 34% | 49% | -15.1 | +14.9 | +0.9 | -0.7 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 18% | 33% | 47% | -9.4 | -6.7 | +26.4 | -10.3 |
| South 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 16,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 0% | 9% | 64% | 27% | +30.4 | -39.3 | +5.6 | +3.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 0% | 74% | 25% | +3.4 | -5.5 | +0.7 | +1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 74% | 25% | -5.8 | -6.1 | +27.5 | -15.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 6,400 from Kondo Seiichi | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -3.9 | +10.3 | -8.0 | +1.6 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 18,000 from Okada Sayaka | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -30.0 | +12.0 | -5.4 | +23.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,600 from Nikaido Aki | 0% | 0% | 82% | 18% | -0.6 | +1.0 | +9.4 | -9.8 |