Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/16 Game 2
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+54.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Sawazaki Makoto ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +24.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 7,700 from Kayamori Sayaka | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +22.1 | -2.0 | -0.7 | -19.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 41% | 22% | 24% | 13% | -1.9 | +0.4 | +11.0 | -9.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 38% | 22% | 30% | 10% | -6.1 | +7.0 | -0.9 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 32% | 28% | 30% | 10% | +27.9 | -4.6 | -23.0 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin | 59% | 18% | 14% | 8% | -35.1 | +0.9 | +36.5 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 25% | 25% | 41% | 9% | +15.9 | -0.3 | -4.9 | -10.7 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 40% | 21% | 34% | 5% | +3.4 | +3.3 | -33.5 | +26.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 45% | 26% | 13% | 15% | -4.1 | +24.3 | -19.3 | -0.8 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 36% | 47% | 5% | 12% | -13.9 | -4.9 | -6.3 | +25.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 25% | 43% | 5% | 28% | -1.9 | +3.0 | -4.5 | +3.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 45% | 4% | 29% | -4.2 | +8.6 | -1.8 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 55% | 3% | 25% | -10.2 | -15.7 | +34.7 | -8.8 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 1,500 | 17% | 43% | 17% | 24% | -7.1 | -2.3 | +12.0 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 14% | 41% | 24% | 22% | -18.6 | +24.9 | -4.1 | -2.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 2% | 77% | 6% | 15% | -8.0 | +11.3 | +10.0 | -13.4 |