Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/19 Game 1
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 24,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +85.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 27% | 23% | 24% | 27% | -12.1 | +18.0 | -1.8 | -4.2 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 37% | 23% | 22% | -0.7 | -8.3 | -4.0 | +13.0 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 17% | 29% | 21% | 33% | -1.6 | +0.4 | +13.8 | -12.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 16% | 30% | 29% | 25% | +2.5 | +0.2 | -12.6 | +9.8 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 31% | 20% | 30% | +13.8 | -0.5 | -6.3 | -6.9 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 31% | 17% | 25% | -18.2 | +33.7 | -9.2 | -6.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 66% | 10% | 15% | +2.9 | +2.7 | -2.9 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 24,000 | 10% | 69% | 9% | 13% | -20.2 | -44.7 | +85.6 | -20.7 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,600 from Aiko Hinata | 1% | 5% | 91% | 4% | -11.4 | +1.8 | +1.0 | +8.7 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 95% | 4% | +23.2 | +2.4 | +0.8 | -26.4 |