Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/19 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 24,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +87.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -8.8 | +16.5 | -2.7 | -5.0 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 37% | 24% | 21% | -2.3 | -7.9 | -4.8 | +14.9 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 16% | 31% | 21% | 32% | -0.1 | -0.7 | +14.2 | -13.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 17% | 30% | 30% | 23% | +0.6 | +1.1 | -14.7 | +12.9 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 31% | 19% | 33% | +15.1 | -0.6 | -7.2 | -7.3 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 31% | 15% | 26% | -19.2 | +33.6 | -7.5 | -6.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 8% | 67% | 9% | 16% | +4.0 | +3.1 | -2.6 | -4.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 24,000 | 10% | 69% | 8% | 13% | -21.5 | -45.6 | +87.3 | -20.2 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,600 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 4% | 92% | 3% | -10.7 | +2.7 | +0.6 | +7.5 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 96% | 3% | +23.0 | +1.9 | +0.3 | -25.2 |